Unified CML Registry: Side-by-side comparison of prognostic models. ELTS is the modern survivor-validated standard (European LeukemiaNet).
1. Baseline Biometrics
2. Blood Film
3. FBC Parameters
Guidelines & Evidence
Clinical Details
Section 1
When to Use
When to Use
Baseline risk stratification for patients with newly diagnosed Chronic Myeloid Leukemia (CML) in chronic phase.
Aiding the selection of Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor (TKI) therapy (first-line imatinib vs. 2nd-gen TKIs).
Predicting long-term outcomes (Complete Cytogenetic Response and Disease-Specific Mortality).
Model Selection
ELTS is currently the preferred model as it was developed in the TKI era and specifically predicts CML-related mortality.
Section 2
Formula & Logic
Variables Compared
Model
Standard Output
Key Variables
Sokal
Overall Survival
Age, Spleen, Platelets, Blasts
EUTOS
Cytogenetic Response
Spleen, Basophils
ELTS
CML-Specific Survival
Age, Spleen, Platelets, Blasts
Spleen Measurement
Spleen size must be measured in cm below the left costal margin (LCM).
Section 3
Pearls/Pitfalls
Why ELTS Matters
The older Sokal score tends to over-categorize patients into high-risk groups. The ELTS score, derived from a cohort of >2,000 TKI-treated patients, provides a more accurate estimate of the small percentage of patients likely to die from CML progression.
Therapeutic Pivot
High ELTS/Sokal scores often prompt clinicians to consider stronger initial therapy (e.g., Dasatinib or Nilotinib) to achieve faster molecular responses.
Section 4
Evidence Appraisal
Primary Strategy
The European LeukemiaNet prognostic score for CML-specific survival in patients treated with TKIs.
Pfirrmann M et al. • Leukemia. 2016;30(6):1352-61. (ELTS Score)